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Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
$912KOct 5, 2026
Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
Lula
74.5%$174K 24h volume
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All Outcomes
Outcome
Chance
Trade
Lula
75%
Flavio Bolsonaro
26%
Ronaldo Caiado
0%
Zema
0%
Renan Santos
0%
Pablo Marçal
0%
Escritor Augusto Cury
0%
Rui Costa Pimenta
0%
Clariana Barao
0%
Hertz Dias
0%
Samara
0%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
0%
Edmilson Costa
0%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
About this market
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
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https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/
Resolution source: https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/