How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

3 (75 bps)

1.8%$105K 24h volume

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All Outcomes

Outcome

Chance

24h

Volume

Trade

0 (0 bps)

69%

-1.3%

$57K

1 (25 bps)

16%

-7.0%

$35K

2 (50 bps)

+1.5%

$68K

3 (75 bps)

+0.2%

$105K

4 (100 bps)

-0.1%

$21K

6 (150 bps)

+0.0%

$21K

8 (200 bps)

+0.0%

$26K

12+ (300+ bps)

+0.0%

$20K

7 (175 bps)

+0.0%

$18K

5 (125 bps)

+0.0%

$18K

9 (225 bps)

+0.0%

$36K

10 (250 bps)

+0.0%

$35K

11 (275 bps)

+0.0%

$34K

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Rules

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FO...