Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Donald Trump

0.9%$291K 24h volume

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All Outcomes

Outcome

Chance

24h

Volume

Trade

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

15%

+3.8%

$3K

Save the Children

-3.3%

$2K

UNRWA

-0.8%

$1K

Yulia Navalnaya

-0.5%

$1K

Committee to Protect Journalists

-2.3%

$672

Sara Al-Saqqa

-1.4%

$148

Mark Carney

+0.4%

$8K

Greta Thunberg

+0.0%

$225

Pope Leo XIV

-0.1%

$13K

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

-0.3%

$11K

Donald Trump

-0.4%

$291K

António Guterres

-0.1%

$105

Ahmed al-Sharaa

-0.2%

$9K

Narendra Modi

-0.1%

$7K

Xi Jinping

+0.0%

$1K

Elon Musk

+0.0%

$1K

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

+0.1%

$80

Chow Hang-tung

-0.3%

$65

Reporters Without Borders

-0.6%

$61

International Court of Justice

-0.3%

$52

Hussam Abu Safiya

+0.0%

$20

Charlie Kirk

+0.0%

$18

Mohammed bin Salman

+0.0%

$11

Julian Assange

+0.0%

Vladimir Putin

+0.0%

Khaled Mashal

+0.0%

Benjamin Netanyahu

+0.0%

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

+0.0%

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

-0.1%

UNHCR

+0.0%

ICRC

+0.1%

World Central Kitchen

+0.1%

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Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, th...