US next strikes Iran on...?

January 14

0.1%$542K 24h volume

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All Outcomes

Outcome

Chance

24h

Volume

Trade

No strike by January 31

70%

+4.5%

$172K

January 17

-1.2%

$73K

January 23

+1.5%

$40K

January 18

-0.2%

$54K

January 31

+1.6%

$95K

January 24

+0.4%

$39K

January 20

+0.1%

$34K

January 19

-0.5%

$40K

January 16

-2.5%

$133K

January 30

-0.3%

$56K

January 25

+0.4%

$35K

January 29

+0.2%

$55K

January 22

+0.1%

$40K

January 28

-0.2%

$31K

January 26

+0.1%

$42K

January 21

-0.8%

$34K

January 27

-0.4%

$36K

January 14

-0.1%

$542K

January 15

-2.6%

$300K

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Rules

This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and Janua...