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US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
$615KAug 31, 2026
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
July 18
2.1%$138K 24h volume
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All Outcomes
Outcome
Chance
Trade
August 31
52%
August 14
33%
July 31
23%
July 24
14%
July 18
2%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran that begins at any time between market c...