Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

October 16

84.0%$52K 24h volume

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All Outcomes

Outcome

Chance

24h

Volume

Trade

October 13

100%

+8.9%

$7K

October 14

94%

+4.0%

$1K

October 16

84%

-1.5%

$52K

October 17

80%

-5.5%

$34K

October 20

73%

-13.0%

$20K

October 24

72%

-14.0%

$5K

October 23

70%

-5.5%

$4K

October 25

64%

-21.0%

$3K

October 19

64%

-12.0%

$21K

October 22

63%

-23.0%

$20K

October 18

59%

-26.5%

$23K

October 29

56%

-19.5%

$5K

October 21

65%

-20.5%

$375

October 15

93%

+4.3%

$208

October 28

75%

-10.0%

October 26

75%

-1.0%

October 27

75%

-10.0%

October 30

76%

-0.5%

October 31

63%

+8.5%

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Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military acti...